Result
1:3
25/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 China | iQIYI, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 2, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/441) | 85% (454/536) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/441) | 85% (454/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (61/95) | 73% (74/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Lu Wenjun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 1, Lingard J. ⚽, Dugandzic M. (A),
- 56', Lee Seung-Mo 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Mateus Vital ⚽, Matheus Jussa (A),
- 61', 1 - 2, Lucas Silva ⚽, Lingard J. (A),
- 65', Kuai Jiwen ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
- 65', Li X. ↓, Xu Xin ↑,
- 67', Dugandzic M. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
- 67', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Anderson Oliveira ↑,
- 68', Lucas Silva ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Lingard J. ⚽, Hwang Do-Yun (A),
- 79', Lu Wenjun ↓, Feng Jing ↑,
- 81', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Ryu Jae-Moon ↑,
- 84', Li Shuai ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
- 84', Wang Shenchao ↓, Jojo A. C. ↑,
- 86', Zhang Linpeng 🟨,
- 86', Lingard J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yurt9f6p
Chances of winning
Shanghai Port
22.3% | Draw
24.5% | FC Seoul
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Seoul's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Seoul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shanghai Port - FC Seoul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↑
(3.1) |
3.93 ↑
(3.8) |
1.81 ↓
(2.17) |
3.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shanghai Port - FC Seoul?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Seoul will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Shanghai Port (2.17) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Seoul (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): FC Seoul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Shanghai Port (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Seoul (votes: 6 - 54.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Port won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Shanghai Port won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Port won against FC Seoul?
Shanghai Port has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Seoul won against Shanghai Port?
FC Seoul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shanghai Port - FC Seoul were as follows:
Latest results of Shanghai Port
Latest results of FC Seoul
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
