Result
1:1
14/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Gol Stadium |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 518 | 409 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 432 | 326 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 141 | 122 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 71 | 30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Moises ⚽, Mancuso E. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Canobbio A. ⚽, Cuello (A),
- 39', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 60', Moises ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 61', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 68', Andrade K. ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 68', Mancuso E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 72', Zapelli B. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 73', Cuello ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 78', Marinho ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 79', Renato Kayzer ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 85', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
- 85', Joao Cruz ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 90', Canobbio A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
43.5% | Draw
28.1% | Fortaleza
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.22) |
3.35 ↑
(3.27) |
3.35 ↑
(3.32) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0.
- Athletico PR is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Fernandinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto
(Injury)
Santos
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Fortaleza?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Athletico Paranaense?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza were as follows:
02.06.2024
Fortaleza
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
08.11.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Fortaleza
1:1
09.07.2023
Fortaleza
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
05.10.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
