Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/406) | 86% (324/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/406) | 86% (324/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (72/123) | 79% (93/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 23', Portilla J. 🟨,
- 30', Murilo 🟨,
- 42', Jadson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Murilo 🟨,
- 51', Lopez J. ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
- 53', Jadson ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 56', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 60', Portilla J. ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 60', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
- 63', Esquivel L. 🟨,
- 71', Sosa R. 🟨,
- 72', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 80', Aguirre F. ↓, Leo ↑,
- 80', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 83', Sosa R. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 83', Allan Elias ↓, Benedetti ↑,
- 83', Arias J. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
59.9% | Draw
24.1% | Athletico Paranaense
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.5) |
3.95 ↑
(3.92) |
5.8 ↓
(6.05) |
5.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
- Palmeiras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Athletico PR has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Jefte
(Inactive)
Marlon Freitas
(Yellow Cards)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Teran C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Vitor Roque
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Chiqueti
(Illness)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Athletico Paranaense?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Palmeiras?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
01.09.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
0:2
12.05.2024
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:2
04.11.2023
Palmeiras
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
02.07.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
2:2
25.10.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Palmeiras
1:3
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
