Palmeiras vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
60.2%
Draw
23.7%
Athletico Paranaense
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 23.5% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 22.4% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.5)
    3.96
    (3.92)
    5.88
    (6.05)
    5.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
    • Palmeiras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras 0:2
    12.05.2024 Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense 0:2
    04.11.2023 Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    02.07.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras 2:2
    25.10.2022 Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras 1:3
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    12.04.2026 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:0
    05.04.2026 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:2
    02.04.2026 Palmeiras - Grêmio 2:1
    21.03.2026 São Paulo - Palmeiras 0:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras1182121:101126
    2Flamengo RJ1062218:10820
    3Sao Paulo1162315:9620
    4Fluminense1162318:13520
    5Bahia1062215:10520
    6Athletico-PR1161417:13419
    7Coritiba1144313:12116
    8Atletico-MG1142514:13114
    9Bragantino1142511:12-114
    10Vitoria1042411:14-314
    11Botafogo RJ1041518:21-313
    12Gremio1134414:14013
    13Vasco1134416:17-113
    14Internacional113449:10-113
    15Santos1134414:16-213
    16Corinthians112548:11-311
    17Cruzeiro1124514:21-710
    18Remo1115511:18-78
    19Chapecoense-SC1015410:18-88
    20Mirassol1013611:16-56

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B