Result
0:0
07/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 15
- Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/456) | 65% (145/223) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/456) | 65% (145/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (79/124) | 45% (29/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Espinoza J. 🟨,
- 42', Smolcic H. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 45', Oguz A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Linetty K. ↓, Keita H. ↑,
- 59', Nonge J. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 69', Barasi Y. 🟨,
- 69', Barasi Y. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 81', Churlinov D. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
- 82', Bingol T. ↓, Petkovic B. ↑,
- 85', Gueye P. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 85', Diabate F. ↓, Szalai At. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor
53% | Draw
27.4% | Kasımpaşa
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.87) |
3.44 ↑
(3.41) |
4.84 ↑
(4.33) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Kocaelispor (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).
- Kocaelispor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kocaelispor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Albayrak E.
(Suspended)
Cetinkaya E.
(Inactive)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Tasdemir E.
(Injury)
Yanar A.
(Suspended)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1.5:5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Kasımpaşa?
Kocaelispor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Kocaelispor?
Kasımpaşa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 37:47 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
