Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.330.32
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
31
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
110
Passes
74% (229/310)83% (417/501)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.330.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.11
Total shots
85
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
12
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
813
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free kicks
1418
Passes
74% (229/310)83% (417/501)
Long passes
38% (28/73)53% (36/68)
Passes in final third
54% (49/90)71% (86/121)
Crosses
14% (1/7)10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.49
Throw ins
1523
Fouls
1814
Tackles
87% (13/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
318
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.110.59
Goals prevented
0.11-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Benedyczak A. , Diabate F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Katongo J. , Mendes J. ,
  • 60', Chalov F. , Soyalp F. ,
  • 60', Benes L. , Brenet J. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Gianniotis A. , Rodrigo Becao (A),
  • 70', Makarov D. , Mane C. ,
  • 70', Civelek R. 🟨,
  • 73', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
  • 73', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
  • 77', Civelek R. , Tuci I. ,
  • 80', Corekci K. , Opoku N. ,
  • 85', Benedyczak A. , Tosun C. ,
  • 90', Cafu 🟥,
  • 90+1', Diabate F. , Demirbay K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
43.3%
Draw
28.6%
Kayserispor
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27.2% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 27.4% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.11)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    3.38
    (3.3)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2%83%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Kasımpaşa (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kasımpaşa could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Frimpong G. (Hamstring Injury) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Cihan K. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 3:2
    13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    08.11.2024 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 1:2
    03.04.2024 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 3:4
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    19.03.2026 Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    15.03.2026 Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor 1:0
    08.03.2026 Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa 1:1
    23.02.2026 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 1:1
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray32235473:274674
    2Fenerbahce322010271:343770
    3Trabzonspor32199459:352466
    4Besiktas ✔ 32178756:362059
    5Goztepe321313640:281252
    6Basaksehir32149953:341951
    7Samsunspor321212843:42148
    8Rizespor3210101244:46-240
    9Konyaspor3210101242:45-340
    10Kocaelispor329101326:36-1037
    11Gaziantep329101341:54-1337
    12Alanyaspor326161037:38-134
    13Kasimpasa327111430:46-1632
    14Eyupspor32781726:45-1929
    15Antalyaspor32781730:51-2129
    16Genclerbirligi32771830:45-1528
    17Kayserispor325121524:58-3427
    18Karagumruk32662028:53-2524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )