VVV-Venlo vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 30
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.481.92
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
724
Shots on target
08
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
13
Passes
78% (300/385)82% (374/456)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.481.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.003.34
Total shots
724
Shots on target
08
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
421
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1237
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
712
Passes
78% (300/385)82% (374/456)
Long passes
42% (21/50)56% (34/61)
Passes in final third
63% (47/75)69% (88/127)
Crosses
25% (2/8)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.69
Throw ins
2223
Fouls
127
Tackles
58% (11/19)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4056
Clearances
3216
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
3.340.00
Goals prevented
0.340.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Heise P. , de Blok L. ,
  • 46', Wehmeyer L. , Ait Mouhou N. ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Kuster H. , Fage R. (A),
  • 67', Kromah L. , van Zijl B. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Fage R. ,
  • 75', Uneken J. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 75', Cleonise D. , Boetius J-P. ,
  • 75', Kuster H. , van der Veen Y. ,
  • 76', 0 - 3, van der Leij T. , van der Veen Y. (A),
  • 79', Fage R. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 81', van Oorschot D. , Kluskens J. ,
  • 81', Joosten T. , Blancquart G. ,
  • 87', Postma L. , van Hedel R. ,
  • 90', van Eijma R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
38.1%
Draw
24.8%
Waalwijk
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 25.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.2% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.4)
    3.76
    (3.72)
    2.53
    (2.6)
    6.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Waalwijk (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Venlo (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Venlo: Triep J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    27.02.2026 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 1:0
    20.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Oss 1:1
    14.02.2026 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    07.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven 1:0
    02.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    27.02.2026 Waalwijk - FC Eindhoven 2:1
    20.02.2026 Cambuur - Waalwijk 1:1
    13.02.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 1:2
    08.02.2026 Willem II - Waalwijk 2:1
    30.01.2026 Waalwijk - FC Oss 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Jong PSV361751465:59656
    6Almere City361741573:591455
    7Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    8Roda3614121057:50754
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Vitesse3615101163:531043
    13Venlo361261847:55-842
    14FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    15Jong Utrecht351091652:61-939
    16Oss369111648:62-1438
    17Jong AZ361142159:73-1437
    18Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    19Helmond36991840:61-2136
    20Jong Ajax36882049:71-2232

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie