Jong Utrecht vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.131.41
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
94
Big chances
83
Corner kicks
82
Passes
79% (350/441)66% (232/352)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
3.131.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.29
Total shots
278
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
91
Shots inside the box
205
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
83
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
4513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
137
Passes
79% (350/441)66% (232/352)
Long passes
55% (32/58)39% (30/77)
Passes in final third
65% (93/143)50% (47/94)
Crosses
42% (11/26)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.43
Throw ins
2234
Fouls
713
Tackles
46% (6/13)68% (15/22)
Duels won
6256
Clearances
3137
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
28
xGOT faced
1.292.57
Goals prevented
-0.710.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, van Zijl B. , Schoonderwaldt Y. (A),
  • 26', van der Wegen S. 🟨,
  • 43', Blancquart G. , Verheij L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Dundas N. ,
  • 56', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
  • 62', den Boggende T. , El Arguioui R. ,
  • 66', Sbai Y. 🟨,
  • 67', Ait Mouhou N. , Matoug N. ,
  • 67', Kluskens J. , Saddiki D. ,
  • 67', van Zijl B. , van Oorschot D. ,
  • 72', Demircan E. , Menzo B. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Zandbergen D. , Wehmeyer L. (A),
  • 85', Kooy W. , Ebite S. ,
  • 85', Jensen M. , Sneijder J. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Ebite S. , Plantinga V. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Utrecht
49.8%
Draw
22.8%
VVV-Venlo
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 24.9% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.1% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Utrecht's performance.
  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VVV-Venlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVV-Venlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.39)
    4.1
    (3.75)
    3.38
    (2.59)
    7.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Venlo will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 46.1%91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Venlo (2.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Jong Utrecht (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jong Utrecht will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Jong Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Venlo: Eijgenraam J. (Yellow Cards) Timber D. (Knee Injury) Triep J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    21.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht 0:1
    01.04.2025 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 0:0
    13.09.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht 3:2
    15.01.2024 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 0:0
    25.08.2023 VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht 4:1
    Latest results of Jong Utrecht
    26.01.2026 Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht 2:2
    19.01.2026 Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV 5:3
    10.01.2026 Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Utrecht Canceled
    22.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - Roda 1:3
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    26.01.2026 Roda - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1
    12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

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