Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Lucas Rey N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 1, de Prado S. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, Juancho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Numancia
50.6% | Draw
28.2% | UD Ourense
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Numancia - UD Ourense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.17) |
3.26 ↑
(2.99) |
4.33 ↑
(3.22) |
9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Numancia - UD Ourense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). UD Ourense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Numancia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- UD Ourense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Numancia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against UD Ourense?
Numancia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Numancia?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - UD Ourense were as follows:
07.12.2025
UD Ourense
-
Numancia
0:3
Latest results of Numancia
Latest results of UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Real Avila | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:41 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Coruxo FC | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 38:32 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Salamanca | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Numancia | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Atl. Astorga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Langreo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 13 | Marino de Luanco | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 50:56 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 35:52 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21:71 | -50 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
UD Samano is Relegated to
