Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shanghai Shenhua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.83
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (429/529)74% (242/327)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.16
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
86
Passes
81% (429/529)74% (242/327)
Long passes
49% (26/53)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
76% (188/248)64% (49/77)
Crosses
25% (11/44)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.47
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
68
Tackles
60% (9/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1554
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.161.38
Goals prevented
0.160.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Amadou I. 🟨,
  • 55', Arslan T. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 58', Germain R. 🟨,
  • 62', Gao Tianyi , Yang Haoyu ,
  • 64', Suga D. , Kato M. ,
  • 68', Wu Xi 🟨,
  • 71', Amadou I. , Wang Haijian ,
  • 76', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 76', Saulo Mineiro , Asue L. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Araki H. , Arai N. (A),

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Draw
16.6%
Shanghai Shenhua
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 18.2% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 17.6% 11.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.28
(1.34)
5.64
(5.13)
8.96
(7.83)
6.9%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shanghai Shenhua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 641112:6613
    2Machida632110:5511
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima63216:3311
    4Melbourne City63127:6110
    5Seoul62318:539
    6Johor DT62226:518
    7Buriram62227:8-18
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng61325:7-26
    11Shanghai Shenhua61145:9-44
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)