Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shanghai Shenhua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.83
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (429/529)74% (242/327)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.16
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
86
Passes
81% (429/529)74% (242/327)
Long passes
49% (26/53)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
76% (188/248)64% (49/77)
Crosses
25% (11/44)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.47
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
68
Tackles
60% (9/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1554
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.161.38
Goals prevented
0.160.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Amadou I. 🟨,
  • 55', Arslan T. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 58', Germain R. 🟨,
  • 62', Gao Tianyi , Yang Haoyu ,
  • 64', Suga D. , Kato M. ,
  • 68', Wu Xi 🟨,
  • 71', Amadou I. , Wang Haijian ,
  • 76', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 76', Saulo Mineiro , Asue L. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Araki H. , Arai N. (A),

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Draw
16.6%
Shanghai Shenhua
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 18.2% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 17.6% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.34)
    5.64
    (5.13)
    8.96
    (7.83)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 68.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Hiroshima (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Hiroshima (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shanghai Shenhua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida ✔ 852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe ✔ 851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 843110:6415
    4Buriram ✔ 842210:8214
    5Melbourne City ✔ 74129:7213
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon72239:11-28
    9Ulsan HD72236:8-28
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port70342:11-93


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Buriram is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)