Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK Hiroshima

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.290.93
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
73% (321/437)71% (235/333)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.290.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.84
Total shots
179
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
4013
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
89
Passes
73% (321/437)71% (235/333)
Long passes
41% (22/54)25% (12/48)
Passes in final third
66% (132/201)69% (59/86)
Crosses
31% (9/29)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.39
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
98
Tackles
72% (13/18)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4632
Clearances
1445
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.841.97
Goals prevented
0.84-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Germain R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', Koshimichi S. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 67', Arslan T. , Kato M. ,
  • 69', Ota S. , Fujii T. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Kawabe H. (Own goal),
  • 81', Nakamura S. , Suga D. ,
  • 82', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 82', Nitta R. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 82', Ikeda M. , Okuno K. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Germain V. , Suga D. (A),
  • 90', 2 - 1, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+2', Barada A. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 90+2', Tamura S. , Okuno H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76.4%
Draw
15.3%
Shonan Bellmare
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73% 17.5% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.29)
    6.13
    (5.38)
    11.33
    (9.9)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Hiroshima (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3.
    • Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto H. (Red Card) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Oda Y. (Leg Injury) Onose K. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1
    03.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2
    07.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    19.10.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 2:0
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers10802018:726
    2FC Tokyo11532119:1023
    3Machida11531217:1622
    4Verdy10330416:1515
    5Kawasaki Frontale10321416:1914
    6Urawa Reds10303414:1512
    7Mito10133313:1912
    8Kashiwa Reysol10310615:1411
    9Yokohama F. Marinos10300713:189
    10Chiba10203510:189


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe11712123:1225
    2Kyoto10421317:1217
    3Gamba Osaka10332216:1417
    4Shimizu S-Pulse11324215:1417
    5Nagoya Grampus10412317:1516
    6Cerezo Osaka10321410:1114
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima10320515:1413
    8V-Varen Nagasaki10400610:1512
    9Avispa Fukuoka10221510:1711
    10Okayama10213411:2011

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
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          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)