Xerez CD vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Castillo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
53.4%
Draw
28.9%
Atlético Malagueño
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25.9% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24.5% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.56)
    3.16
    (3.5)
    5.17
    (5.65)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Xerez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Malagueño is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Xerez is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    06.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD 2:0
    30.11.2025 Xerez CD - Real Jaén 1:0
    16.11.2025 Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva 0:1
    09.11.2025 La Unión - Xerez CD 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura301411546:341253
    2Deportiva Minera30165942:281453
    3UCAM Murcia30157843:34952
    4Aguilas FC30157839:231652
    5Xerez CD30156930:24651
    6Recreativo Huelva30149736:191751
    7Jaen30139837:30748
    8Lorca Deportiva301281030:30044
    9Linares301013735:38-343
    10Yeclano301241428:28040
    11La Union301161337:37039
    12Antoniano301161332:35-339
    13Puente Genil30991224:32-836
    14CD Estepona30971432:39-734
    15Xerez D.F.C308101231:38-734
    16Melilla307121131:31033
    17Almeria B ✔ 30481821:44-2320
    18Malaga B ✔ 30452125:55-3017

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Almeria B is Relegated to
    Malaga B is Relegated to