Virtus Francavilla vs Pompei – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Virtus Francavilla
49.5%
Draw
26.5%
Pompei
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 26.7% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 25.6% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.
  • Pompei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pompei might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pompei than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pompei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Virtus Francavilla - Pompei Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.21)
    3.43
    (3.4)
    3.78
    (2.83)
    10.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Virtus Francavilla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pompei has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pompei may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Virtus Francavilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Latest results of Pompei
    07.12.2025 Pompei - Acerrana 1:1
    29.11.2025 Heraclea - Pompei 0:2
    23.11.2025 Pompei - Nardo 2:3
    16.11.2025 Città di Fasano - Pompei 2:3
    09.11.2025 Pompei - Nola 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta ✔ 332010354:193570
    2Martina Calcio ✔ 33188746:281862
    3Citta di Fasano ✔ 33178845:351059
    4Paganese ✔ 33177936:261058
    5A.C.D. Nardo331313739:271252
    6Gravina331571147:38952
    7Afragolese3313101045:44149
    8Fidelis Andria331391134:26848
    9Virtus Francavilla3312111043:38547
    10Real Normanna3310131025:23243
    11Sarnese339131149:47240
    12Francavilla3310101337:38-140
    13Manfredonia3310101332:38-640
    14SS Nola 1925331081540:49-938
    15Heraclea ✔ 33981629:38-935
    16Pompei33871824:37-1331
    17Ferrandina33791720:41-2130
    18Acerrana ✔ 33352519:72-5314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barletta is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    Martina Calcio is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
    Citta di Fasano is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
    Paganese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
    Heraclea is Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out )
    Acerrana is Relegated to