Result
0:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 9 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 10 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 17 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (505/575) | 73% (220/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (505/575) | 73% (220/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 26% (15/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (158/193) | 52% (42/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Stojinovic D. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 18', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Weslley Patati ↓, Daal R. ↑,
- 63', Pululu A. 🟥,
- 68', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 69', Pozo A. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
- 70', Parrott T. 🟨,
- 70', Goes W. 🟨,
- 76', Imaz J. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 87', Jensen I. 🟨,
- 87', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 88', Jensen I. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 88', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 88', Goes W. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
68.8% | Draw
17.9% | Jagiellonia Białystok
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.61) |
5.27 ↑
(4.15) |
7.13 ↑
(4.9) |
5.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - AZ (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AZ Alkmaar will win
(29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 21 - 95.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- AZ is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jagiellonia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AZ is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
AZ Alkmaar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against AZ Alkmaar?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
