AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
0:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
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chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
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franceFranceCanal+ Live 9
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
hungaryHungarySport 2
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laosLaosbeIN Connect
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peruPeruDisney+
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polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 10
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
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venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.12
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
88% (505/575)73% (220/301)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.14
Total shots
144
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
4810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
88% (505/575)73% (220/301)
Long passes
62% (32/52)26% (15/57)
Passes in final third
82% (158/193)52% (42/81)
Crosses
33% (6/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.17
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1311
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (16/23)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.140.21
Goals prevented
0.140.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Stojinovic D. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
  • 18', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Weslley Patati ↓, Daal R. ↑,
  • 63', Pululu A. 🟥,
  • 68', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
  • 69', Pozo A. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
  • 70', Parrott T. 🟨,
  • 70', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 76', Imaz J. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
  • 87', Jensen I. 🟨,
  • 87', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
  • 88', Jensen I. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
  • 88', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
  • 88', Goes W. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
68.8%		Draw
17.9%		Jagiellonia Białystok
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 22.6% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 21.8% 18.5%

AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.38 ↓
(1.61)		 5.27 ↑
(4.15)		 7.13 ↑
(4.9)		 5.7%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - AZ (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • AZ is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jagiellonia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, AZ is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Ankle Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Meerdink M. (Groin Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    14.12.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior Postponed
    11.12.2025 Drita Gjilan - AZ Alkmaar 0:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    14.12.2025 Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺
    11.12.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano 1:2 ✺
    07.12.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺
    04.12.2025 GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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