Result
1:2
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 11 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 14 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 11 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (243/334) | 80% (418/522) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (243/334) | 80% (418/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (32/71) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (66/113) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Gurgul M. (A),
- 45+1', Sylla A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
- 53', Langer S. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
- 59', Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Breite R. 🟨,
- 62', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 72', Ismaheel T. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez P. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 76', Navratil J. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Kral J. ⚽, Kostadinov T. (A),
- 85', Vasulin D. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
- 88', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 88', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 90', Ouma T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sigma Olomouc
30.4% | Draw
32.2% | Lech Poznań
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sigma Olomouc's form might have worsened.Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.61) |
2.91 ↓
(3.24) |
2.52 ↓
(2.68) |
6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 4 - 5.3%). Lech will win (votes: 10 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 62 - 81.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 72.9% – 90.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 2.3%). Tie (votes: 43 - 97.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sigma (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Sigma (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 47 high ROI users predict this event. Sigma (votes: 3 - 6.4%). Lech (votes: 1 - 2.1%). Tie (votes: 43 - 91.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sigma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lech is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sigma: Digana T.
(Inactive)
Dumitrescu A.
(Injury)
Leibl M.
(Injury)
Mikulenka M.
(Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Knee Injury)
Tkac D.
(Inactive)
Trefil J.
(Inactive)
Vrastil L.
(Inactive)
Yasser M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Inactive)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Milic A.
(Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
Thordarson G.
(Injury)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Huk T.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Lech Poznań?
Sigma Olomouc has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Sigma Olomouc?
Lech Poznań has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań were as follows:
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
