Result
0:0
30/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 17
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (234/303) | 89% (578/650) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (234/303) | 89% (578/650) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 70% (30/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 82% (248/302) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 24% (11/46) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Palma L. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 60', Agnero Y. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
- 63', Niarchos G. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 64', Pacheco D. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
- 72', Sekulski L. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 74', Ishak M. 🟨,
- 82', Nowak W. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 83', Jagiello F. 🟨,
- 87', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock
30.9% | Draw
26.8% | Lech Poznań
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.86) |
3.51 ↑
(3.14) |
2.23 ↑
(2.21) |
6.2%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lech will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 42.8% – 90.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1.
- Wisła Płock is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Borowski B.
(Muscle Injury)
Burek J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Inactive)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Lech Poznań?
Wisła Płock has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Wisła Płock?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań were as follows:
03.02.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Wisła Płock
4:0
11.02.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
