Leonesa vs Las Palmas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
01/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.231.49
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Passes
82% (414/505)83% (392/473)
Yellow cards
54
Expected goals (xG)
1.231.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.31
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1617
Passes
82% (414/505)83% (392/473)
Long passes
53% (30/57)33% (17/51)
Passes in final third
67% (76/114)73% (74/101)
Crosses
30% (3/10)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.84
Throw ins
198
Fouls
1716
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4153
Clearances
914
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
2.311.02
Goals prevented
-0.691.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Marvin 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Marmol M. , Fuster M. (A),
  • 52', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Fuster M. , Jese (A),
  • 61', Maestre S. , Bicho ,
  • 61', Ojeda T. , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 62', Garcia V. , Justo M. ,
  • 64', Diallo Selu M. 🟨,
  • 72', Fuster M. , Viera J. ,
  • 74', Bicho 🟨,
  • 82', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 85', Moreno V. 🟨,
  • 85', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
  • 88', Jese , Ramirez S. ,
  • 88', Moreno V. , Sobrino R. ,
  • 89', Clemente E. , Herzog J. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 3, Ramirez S. ,
  • 90+2', Marvin , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 90+3', Amatucci L. , Pedrola E. ,
  • 90+4', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Miyashiro T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
30.9%
Draw
30.5%
Las Palmas
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 28.5% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 28.8% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leonesa - Las Palmas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.48)
    3.06
    (3.32)
    2.44
    (2.13)
    6.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Las Palmas?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Las Palmas (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Recent form of Leonesa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Las Palmas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Alex Suarez (Back Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Las Palmas were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    21.02.2026 Leganés - Leonesa 1:1
    14.02.2026 Leonesa - Zaragoza 0:0
    08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1
    26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    21.02.2026 Las Palmas - Castellón 1:1
    15.02.2026 Mirandés - Las Palmas 1:1
    07.02.2026 Las Palmas - Burgos 0:0
    24.01.2026 Las Palmas - Córdoba 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander341951067:531462
    2Almeria34187966:471961
    3Dep. La Coruna34179852:371560
    4Las Palmas341512745:281757
    5Castellon34169956:411557
    6Malaga34169956:411557
    7Burgos CF34169941:291257
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Gijon341471345:43249
    10Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    11Andorra3412101250:47346
    12Cordoba341291346:52-645
    13Albacete3411111243:45-244
    14Granada CF3410121243:41242
    15Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    16Leganes349121338:37139
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF341081633:47-1438
    19Zaragoza348101631:46-1534
    20Huesca34881834:52-1832
    21Mirandes34881835:54-1932
    22Cultural Leonesa34881831:55-2432

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