Result
1:5
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 4.59 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 14.71% (5/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.29% (29/34) | 95% (19/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 35.59 | 64.41 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:05, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
- 04:26, 1 - 0, Tiivola P. (G), Maatta R. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
- 15:55, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 15:55, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 15:55, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 5)
- 00:40, 1 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 03:00, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 03:53, Nilsson O. (2 min),
- 04:15, 1 - 2, Tanus K. (G), Rautiainen B. (A),
- 08:06, 1 - 3, Mattila Je. (G), Haapala H. (A), Rauhala O. (A2)
- 08:52, 1 - 4, Blichfeld J. (G), Tanus K. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
- 16:00, 1 - 5, Blichfeld J. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 03:12, Heinila E. (2 min),
- 17:25, Nilsson O. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ässät
25.7% | Draw
21.9% | Tappara
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ässät's form might have worsened.Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tappara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ässät - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(2.83) |
4.21 ↑
(4.12) |
1.78 ↓
(2.11) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ässät - Tappara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tappara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- Ässät has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tappara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 56:54. (average 2.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 3.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Tappara?
Ässät has won 10 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Ässät?
Tappara has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Tappara were as follows:
09.01.2026
Tappara
-
Ässät
6:2
11.10.2025
Tappara
-
Ässät
2:1
10.10.2025
Ässät
-
Tappara
3:2
09.08.2025
Tappara
-
Ässät
2:3
22.02.2025
Tappara
-
Ässät
3:2
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
