Result
1:0
07/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 5.27 | 1.33 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.03% (1/33) | 0% (0/16) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (16/16) | 96.97% (32/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.35 | 45.65 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:47, 1 - 0, Sylvegard E. (G), Nykanen J. (A), Matinmikko A. (A2)
- 06:16, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
- 19:35, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:44, Eronen E. (2 min),
- 05:37, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 15:47, Korhonen O. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tappara
67.1% | Draw
18.2% | HPK
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Tappara - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
5.04 ↓
(5.2) |
6.27 ↑
(6.15) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Tappara - HPK?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +2.5, OT - Tappara (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 9.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 9.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- Tappara leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tappara is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 66:39. (average 3.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:12. (average 3.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against HPK?
Tappara has won 16 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Tappara?
HPK has won 5 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - HPK were as follows:
04.04.2026
HPK
-
Tappara
3:4
02.04.2026
Tappara
-
HPK
3:1
30.03.2026
HPK
-
Tappara
2:1
28.03.2026
Tappara
-
HPK
2:1
17.03.2026
HPK
-
Tappara
3:2
Latest results of Tappara
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 4 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Ilves (4) | 2 : 2 |
| 2 | KooKoo (2) | SaiPa (3) | 2 : 1 |
