Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
102
Red cards
11
Total shots
115
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
102

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Tarhan C. , Demirel A. (A),
  • 33', Yigit M. 🟥,
  • 33', Bora V. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Gok M. E. ,

Chances of winning


Muğlaspor
46.6%
Draw
29.5%
Şanlıurfaspor
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 27.2% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 28.4% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muğlaspor's form might have worsened.
  • Şanlıurfaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muğlaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Muğlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.67)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    3.77
    (4.2)
    10.7%
    (14.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
    • Muğlaspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Şanlıurfaspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Muğlaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Muğlaspor is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muğlaspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Muğlaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Muğlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor were as follows:
    30.04.2026 Şanlıurfaspor - Muğlaspor 0:1
    19.04.2026 Muğlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor 0:0
    20.12.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - Muğlaspor 0:0
    Latest results of Muğlaspor
    Latest results of Şanlıurfaspor
    Draw
    2025/26

    Semi-finals
    1Mardin 1969K. u0130stiklalspor1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2AliagaMusspor0 : 1, 1 : 1
    3MuglasporSanliurfaspor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ElazigsporAdana2 : 1, 4 : 2

    Final
    1Mardin 1969Musspor
    2MuglasporElazigspor