Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Muğlaspor
47.3%
Draw
29.5%
Şanlıurfaspor
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 27.2% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 28.4% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Şanlıurfaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muğlaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Muğlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.67)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    3.89
    (4.2)
    10.7%
    (14.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
    • Muğlaspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Şanlıurfaspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Muğlaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Muğlaspor is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muğlaspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Muğlaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Muğlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor were as follows:
    30.04.2026 Şanlıurfaspor - Muğlaspor 0:1
    19.04.2026 Muğlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor 0:0
    20.12.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - Muğlaspor 0:0
    Latest results of Muğlaspor
    Latest results of Şanlıurfaspor
    Draw
    2025/26

    Quarter-finals
    1Mardin 1969K. u0130stiklalspor0 : 0
    2AliagaMusspor1 : 1
    3ElazigsporAdana4 : 2
    4MuglasporSanliurfaspor1 : 0