Mahasarakham vs Rayong FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
28/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Lwin M. A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', 1 - 1, Junior (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', 🟥,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Mahasarakham
19.6%
Draw
23.4%
Rayong FC
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 24.4% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 23.2% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mahasarakham's form might have worsened.
  • Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayong FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Mahasarakham - Rayong FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.67
    (3.66)
    3.9
    (3.73)
    1.61
    (1.8)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mahasarakham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Mahasarakham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Rayong FC is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mahasarakham
    Latest results of Rayong FC
    21.12.2025 Sisaket United - Rayong FC 1:0
    16.12.2025 Rayong FC - Ratchaburi 2:4
    29.11.2025 Rayong FC - Chonburi 1:0
    23.11.2025 Kanchanaburi - Rayong FC 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1PattaniRatchaburi2 : 0
    2Nakhon PathomUthai Thani0 : 2
    3Thonburi UnitedBuriram0 : 4
    4Samut Sakhon CityPrachuap0 : 2
    5Satun FCLamphun Warrior0 : 2
    6Nong Bua PitchayaChonburi1 : 5
    7Thap Luang UnitedChiangrai Utd1 : 0
    8Customs UtdSukhothai2 : 3
    9Bangkok FCMuang Thong Utd0 : 4
    10UttaraditPathum United0 : 4
    11MahasarakhamRayong FC2 : 1
    12Lopburi CityNakhon Ratchasima FC1 : 2
    13ChainatPort MTI FC0 : 5
    14Bankhai UnitedAyutthaya Utd0 : 1
    15Khonkaen Utd.Kanchanaburi1 : 0
    16Pattaya UnitedBangkok Utd0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1PattaniUthai Thani2 : 1
    2BuriramPrachuap3 : 2
    3Lamphun WarriorChonburi0 : 3
    4Thap Luang UnitedSukhothai1 : 0
    5Muang Thong UtdPathum United0 : 2
    6MahasarakhamNakhon Ratchasima FC2 : 0
    7Port MTI FCAyutthaya Utd2 : 1
    8Khonkaen Utd.Bangkok Utd3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1PattaniBuriram
    2ChonburiThap Luang United
    3Pathum UnitedMahasarakham
    4Port MTI FCKhonkaen Utd.