Racing vs Defensa y Justicia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.20
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
83% (368/443)77% (262/340)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.17
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
917
Passes
83% (368/443)77% (262/340)
Long passes
46% (30/65)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
67% (80/119)59% (51/87)
Crosses
30% (9/30)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.581.00
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
179
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3758
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.171.39
Goals prevented
1.170.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Vergara D. , Cambeses F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gutierrez J. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 46', Fernandez D. , Sosa S. ,
  • 46', Rojo M. , Di Cesare M. ,
  • 46', Vietto L. , Almendra A. E. ,
  • 62', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 65', Gutierrez K. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 65', Molinas A. , Barbona D. ,
  • 65', Vergara D. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 79', Miranda M. , Aguiar M. ,
  • 90+4', Adrian Martinez , Fernandez A. ,
  • 90+5', Forneris A. , Sanchez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
51.9%
Draw
28.2%
Defensa y Justicia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2)
    3.37
    (3.47)
    4.67
    (3.71)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Inactive) Pardo F. (Inactive) Rojas G. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Sosa S. (Eye injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury) Zaracho M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Aguilera E. (Inactive) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive) Soto A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:2
    19.10.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 4:3
    16.03.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    01.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 2:2
    28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:1
    Latest results of Racing
    03.11.2025 Central Córdoba - Racing 0:0
    29.10.2025 Racing - Flamengo 0:0
    22.10.2025 Flamengo - Racing 1:0
    17.10.2025 Racing - Aldosivi 1:0
    11.10.2025 Banfield - Racing 1:3
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)