Abha vs Al-Diriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/01/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.17
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
77% (234/304)80% (348/433)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.99
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
810
Passes
77% (234/304)80% (348/433)
Long passes
51% (30/59)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
61% (46/76)67% (76/114)
Crosses
10% (1/10)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.82
Throw-ins
1727
Fouls
108
Tackles
68% (13/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.991.82
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Sow S. , Al Mutairi M. (A),
  • 14', Al Qahtani Z. 🟨,
  • 35', Taira A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Laborde G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Al Mutairi M. ,
  • 58', Al Oufi M. 🟨,
  • 62', Al Qahtani Z. , Al Qarni I. ,
  • 65', Al Qarni I. 🟨,
  • 67', Al Daajani N. , Ibrahim Y. Y. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 74', Wadi T. , Al Jaafari A. ,
  • 81', Al Faraj A. 🟨,
  • 84', Hameran M. , Al Zarie H. ,
  • 84', Al Farhan S. , Al Saeed S. ,
  • 88', Rodriguez O. 🟨,
  • 88', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
  • 90', Al Mutairi M. , Boumedmed K. ,
  • 90', Al Ghamdi F. , Al Mutairi B. ,
  • 90+3', Al Oufi M. , Al Mousa H. ,

Chances of winning


Abha
35.6%
Draw
28.6%
Al-Diriyah
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 27.5% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.4% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Abha have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Abha - Al-Diriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.57)
    3.15
    (3.32)
    2.52
    (2.48)
    10.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Abha - Al-Diriyah?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Abha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Abha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    Latest results of Abha
    31.12.2025 Al-Batin - Abha 0:1
    26.12.2025 Abha - Al-Taee 3:1
    21.12.2025 Jeddah - Abha 1:1
    12.12.2025 Abha - Al-Ula 2:0
    27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    31.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail 5:2
    26.12.2025 Al Raed - Al-Diriyah 2:3
    21.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al-Zulfi 2:1
    13.12.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah 3:0
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha24194152:193361
    2Al Diriyah24164456:243252
    3Al Jabalain24146447:262148
    4Al-Ula24137448:242446
    5Al Orubah24135639:30944
    6Al-Faisaly24119445:291642
    7Al Raed24108645:331238
    8Al Bukiryah241041027:34-734
    9Al Taee2487936:35131
    10Al Zulfi2487930:31-131
    11Al Wehda24851136:42-629
    12Jeddah24610827:32-528
    13Al Anwar2469933:37-427
    14Al Jandal24571219:43-2422
    15Al Adalah24381331:51-2017
    16Al Arabi24441612:42-3016
    17Al Batin24351625:47-2214
    18Al Jubail24251720:49-2911

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation