Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaPars TV Arabic
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Hibs TV

Match Stats

Yellow cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Mulligan J. , Chaiwa M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Hoilett J. , Cadden N. ,
  • 61', Newell J. , Barlaser D. ,
  • 65', Rudden Z. , Morrison C. ,
  • 70', Oakley-Boothe T. , Hamilton C. ,
  • 71', Thomas O. , Kearney S. ,
  • 76', Morrison C. 🟨,
  • 76', Bowie K. , Boyle M. ,
  • 76', Klidje T. , Youan T. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Chaiwa M. (Own goal),
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Cadden N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dunfermline Athletic
14.3%
Draw
25.6%
Hibernian
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 22.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 21.6% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.57
    (4.83)
    3.92
    (4.09)
    1.79
    (1.57)
    -5.4%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 0.
    • Recent form of Dunfermline has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hibernian is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hibernian is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
    Latest results of Hibernian
    10.01.2026 Hibernian - Motherwell 1:1
    03.01.2026 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 1:3
    30.12.2025 Hibernian - Aberdeen 2:0
    27.12.2025 Hibernian - Hearts 3:2
    20.12.2025 Dundee United - Hibernian 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1RangersBye
    5ClydeBye
    6ByeAnnan
    7LossiemouthFormartine Utd1 : 2
    8HuntlyBuckie Thistle1 : 3
    9StranraerBye
    10GlenaftonInvergordon3 : 2
    11Jeanfield SwiftsClydebank FC0 : 4
    12Newtongrange StarEast Stirlingshire1 : 3
    13Bo'ness AthleticKeith2 : 1
    14Linlithgow RoseGala Fairydean2 : 1
    16ByeQueen's Park
    17DumbartonBye
    18ColdstreamTayport2 : 3
    19Auchinleck TalbotCumnock Juniors2 : 1
    20Carluke RoversGretna 20080 : 4
    24ByeCeltic
    25KilmarnockBye
    32ByeDundee FC
    33AirdrieoniansBye
    36ByeHamilton
    37East FifeBye
    40ByeArbroath
    41LivingstonBye
    48ByeSt. Mirren
    49Camelon JuniorsAlbion Rovers2 : 1
    50Johnstone BurghThreave Rovers4 : 0
    51Edinburgh CityBye
    52Stirling UniversityBurntisland Shipyard6 : 2
    53Elgin CityBye
    54DarvelDeveronvale1 : 3
    55Forres MechanicsCaledonian Braves0 : 2
    56ByeStirling
    57MusselburghBonnyton Thistle2 : 0
    58ByeForfar Athletic
    60ByePartick Thistle
    61Wick AcademyRothes5 : 0
    62CowdenbeathBenburb1 : 2
    64ByeMontrose
    65DunfermlineBye
    68ByeQueen of South
    72ByeHibernian
    73Kelty HeartsBye
    75Lochee UnitedBrechin1 : 3
    76Civil Service StrollersDundonald Bluebell2 : 3
    77St JohnstoneBye
    80ByeCove Rangers
    81AberdeenBye
    85RaithBye
    88ByeAlloa
    89MotherwellBye
    93Bo'ness UnitedBanks O' Dee0 : 3
    94Brora RangersFraserburgh0 : 1
    96ByeRoss County
    97StenhousemuirBye
    99ClachnacuddinKilwinning Rangers2 : 1
    100InverurieSauchie0 : 2
    101PeterheadBye
    104ByeMorton
    105HeartsBye
    112ByeFalkirk
    113AyrBye
    115BerwickNairn County0 : 2
    116Turriff UtdHill Of Beath2 : 1
    120ByeDundee Utd
    121Cumbernauld ColtsGlasgow University4 : 0
    122Bonnyrigg RoseBroxburn Athletic2 : 1
    123SpartansBye
    124ByeEast Kilbride
    125TranentPollok3 : 0
    126Strathspey ThistleDundee North End1 : 2
    128ByeInverness

    1/64-finals
    1RangersBye
    3ClydeAnnan2 : 3
    4Formartine UtdBuckie Thistle0 : 2
    5StranraerGlenafton4 : 0
    6Clydebank FCEast Stirlingshire3 : 1
    7Bo'ness AthleticLinlithgow Rose0 : 2
    8ByeQueen's Park
    9DumbartonTayport2 : 0
    10Auchinleck TalbotGretna 20083 : 1
    12ByeCeltic
    13KilmarnockBye
    16ByeDundee FC
    17AirdrieoniansBye
    18ByeHamilton
    19East FifeBye
    20ByeArbroath
    21LivingstonBye
    24ByeSt. Mirren
    25Camelon JuniorsJohnstone Burgh1 : 0
    26Edinburgh CityStirling University1 : 0
    27Elgin CityDeveronvale2 : 1
    28Caledonian BravesStirling3 : 4
    29MusselburghForfar Athletic1 : 2
    30ByePartick Thistle
    31Wick AcademyBenburb1 : 2
    32ByeMontrose
    33DunfermlineBye
    34ByeQueen of South
    36ByeHibernian
    37Kelty HeartsBye
    38BrechinDundonald Bluebell3 : 1
    39St JohnstoneBye
    40ByeCove Rangers
    41AberdeenBye
    43RaithBye
    44ByeAlloa
    45MotherwellBye
    47Banks O' DeeFraserburgh4 : 0
    48ByeRoss County
    49StenhousemuirBye
    50ClachnacuddinSauchie2 : 0
    51PeterheadBye
    52ByeMorton
    53HeartsBye
    56ByeFalkirk
    57AyrBye
    58Nairn CountyTurriff Utd1 : 2
    60ByeDundee Utd
    61Cumbernauld ColtsBonnyrigg Rose0 : 2
    62SpartansEast Kilbride2 : 1
    63TranentDundee North End3 : 0
    64ByeInverness

    1/32-finals
    1RangersBye
    2AnnanBuckie Thistle4 : 0
    3StranraerClydebank FC2 : 1
    4Linlithgow RoseQueen's Park1 : 3
    5DumbartonAuchinleck Talbot0 : 4
    6ByeCeltic
    7KilmarnockBye
    8ByeDundee FC
    9AirdrieoniansHamilton4 : 0
    10East FifeArbroath0 : 2
    11LivingstonBye
    12ByeSt. Mirren
    13Camelon JuniorsEdinburgh City2 : 1
    14Elgin CityStirling4 : 2
    15Forfar AthleticPartick Thistle0 : 2
    16BenburbMontrose0 : 3
    17DunfermlineQueen of South2 : 1
    18ByeHibernian
    19Kelty HeartsBrechin2 : 0
    20St JohnstoneCove Rangers1 : 2
    21AberdeenBye
    22RaithAlloa1 : 0
    23MotherwellBye
    24Banks O' DeeRoss County0 : 2
    25StenhousemuirClachnacuddin4 : 1
    26PeterheadMorton2 : 3
    27HeartsBye
    28ByeFalkirk
    29AyrTurriff Utd3 : 0
    30ByeDundee Utd
    31Bonnyrigg RoseSpartans1 : 2
    32TranentInverness1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1RangersAnnan5 : 0
    2StranraerQueen's Park2 : 1
    3Auchinleck TalbotCeltic0 : 2
    4KilmarnockDundee FC1 : 2
    5AirdrieoniansArbroath4 : 3
    6LivingstonSt. Mirren1 : 2
    7Camelon JuniorsElgin City1 : 3
    8Partick ThistleMontrose3 : 1
    9DunfermlineHibernian1 : 0
    10Kelty HeartsCove Rangers2 : 1
    11AberdeenRaith1 : 0
    12MotherwellRoss County1 : 0
    13StenhousemuirMorton4 : 0
    14HeartsFalkirk1 : 2
    15AyrDundee Utd0 : 2
    16SpartansInverness1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1RangersQueen's Park8 : 0
    2CelticDundee FC2 : 1
    3AirdrieoniansSt. Mirren1 : 2
    4Elgin CityPartick Thistle2 : 3
    5DunfermlineKelty Hearts2 : 0
    6AberdeenMotherwell2 : 0
    7StenhousemuirFalkirk0 : 2
    8Dundee UtdSpartans2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RangersCeltic0 : 1
    2St. MirrenPartick Thistle2 : 1
    3DunfermlineAberdeen3 : 0
    4FalkirkDundee Utd2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CelticSt. Mirren
    2DunfermlineFalkirk