Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
07/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 28

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
04
Corner kicks
31
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
10
Total shots
37
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
33
Corner kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Cooper J. , Todd M. (A),
  • 30', Amade A. 🟨,
  • 33', Tod A. , Kane Ch. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Abdulai N. , Oakley-Boothe T. ,
  • 46', Turley F. , Murphy J. ,
  • 54', Dick L. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Kane Ch. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Hislop J. , Finney G. ,
  • 65', Amade A. , Hamilton C. ,
  • 70', King L. , McRoberts L. ,
  • 71', Want S. 🟨,
  • 76', Rus M. 🟨,
  • 78', Finney G. 🟥,
  • 83', Cooper J. , Bray K. ,
  • 83', Todd M. , Benedictus K. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Bray K. , Fraser R. (A),

Chances of winning


Ayr United
30.9%
Draw
29.8%
Dunfermline Athletic
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 29.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 28.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayr United's form might have worsened.
  • Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.1)
    3.19
    (3.15)
    2.46
    (3.4)
    4.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ayr: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Dunfermline (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Dunfermline (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - Dunfermline (3.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Dunfermline (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Dunfermline (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunfermline (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to domestic cup.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ayr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 2:3
    31.10.2025 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 0:1
    23.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:1
    29.03.2025 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 3:0
    14.01.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:2
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone ✔ 362211367:254277
    2Partick Thistle ✔ 361715453:361766
    3Arbroath ✔ 3613131043:41252
    4Dunfermline ✔ 361491352:411151
    5Raith361291543:42145
    6Queen's Park369141335:48-1341
    7Ayr368151338:47-939
    8Morton368141436:52-1638
    9Airdrieonians368121635:49-1436
    10Ross County368101836:57-2134

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    St Johnstone is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiership
    Partick Thistle is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)
    Arbroath is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)
    Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)