Aviron Bayonnais vs Leinster – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
13:22
17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
13
Conversion goals
12
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
21
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00
Yellow cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 3)
  • 15', Maqala S. (Try),
  • 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 19)
  • 50', Jantjies H. 🟨,
  • 56', Sheehan D. (Try),
  • 57', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Prendergast S. (Try),
  • 75', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Deegan M. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
15.1%
Draw
3%
Leinster
81.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
7.9% 2% 90.1%

Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.96
(11.67)
29.4
(45.67)
1.13
(1.02)
8.4%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster?
  • Users Predictions: Aviron Bayonnais will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aviron Bayonnais will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 19:34.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bayonne has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Leinster is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Bayonne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Leinster is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    Latest results of Leinster
    10.01.2026 Leinster - La Rochelle 25:24
    03.01.2026 Leinster - Connacht 52:17
    27.12.2025 Munster - Leinster 8:13
    19.12.2025 Leinster - Ulster 24:20
    12.12.2025 Leicester Tigers - Leinster 15:23
    European Rugby Champions Cup Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors330087:6315
    2Stade Toulousain4202168:7412
    3Sale Sharks420289:12711
    4Saracens320190:5210
    5Sharks4202107:11710
    6Clermont400457:1650


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Bath4301180:8916
    2RC Toulonnais4301123:10614
    3Castres Olympique420298:10610
    4Edinburgh420269:14010
    5Munster410399:1018
    6Gloucester410375:1026


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1Leinster4400115:8018
    2Harlequins4301184:8615
    3Stormers4301117:12514
    4Leicester Tigers4103118:1156
    5Stade Rochelais4103101:1146
    6Aviron Bayonnais400458:1730


    Group 4
    PlWDLPts
    1Bordeaux Begles4400173:9720
    2Northampton Saints4301156:11016
    3Bristol4301154:10414
    4Bulls4103113:1817
    5Section Paloise4103110:1606
    6Scarlets4004103:1573

          Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)