Al-Najma vs Al Fateh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/01/2026 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.611.20
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
45
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
99
Passes
82% (405/492)73% (204/279)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.611.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.430.79
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
109
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
99
Touches in opposition box
3028
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1010
Passes
82% (405/492)73% (204/279)
Long passes
45% (30/66)51% (36/70)
Passes in final third
79% (126/160)64% (54/84)
Crosses
7% (2/27)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.09
Throw ins
2113
Fouls
1010
Tackles
69% (11/16)71% (20/28)
Duels won
5065
Clearances
1840
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.791.43
Goals prevented
-0.210.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Al Anazi A. , Youssouf Z. (A),
  • 21', Al Haleel N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vargas M. , Al Zubaidi F. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Jasim A. , Al Tulayhi R. (A),
  • 76', Al Jari Z. , Al Swealem A. ,
  • 76', Al Anazi A. , Al Sharfa S. ,
  • 82', Al Tulayhi R. , Al Shammeri A. ,
  • 88', Al Masoud A. , Qasim H. ,
  • 90+3', Masoud N. , Al Sahihi M. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Najma
24.9%
Draw
25.6%
Al Fateh
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 24.7% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 24.3% 50.8%

Al-Najma - Al Fateh Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.76
(3.61)
3.63
(3.7)
1.87
(1.84)
7.5%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al Fateh?
  • Users Predictions: Al Fateh will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Fateh will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 10).
    • Al-Najma has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Al Fateh is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al Fateh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Al Fateh could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Al-Najma
    12.01.2026 Al Hazem - Al-Najma 3:2
    02.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Khaleej 2:2
    29.12.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Najma 1:0
    25.12.2025 Neom - Al-Najma 2:1
    Latest results of Al Fateh
    13.01.2026 Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh 3:1
    10.01.2026 Neom - Al Fateh 0:1
    29.12.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh 0:1
    26.12.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:1
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal14122038:132538
    2Al Nassr14101339:152431
    3Al Taawon14101330:161431
    4Al Ahli SC1494121:111031
    5Al Qadsiah1493231:131830
    6Al Ittihad1483328:171127
    7Al Ettifaq1464424:25-122
    8Al Khaleej1463532:221021
    9Al Fateh1563620:24-421
    10Neom SC1462620:23-320
    11Al Hazem1444614:22-816
    12Al Fayha1434712:26-1413
    13Al Kholood14401019:27-812
    14Al Shabab1425712:22-1011
    15Damac1417611:25-1410
    16Al Riyadh1423913:31-189
    17Al Okhdood14221010:25-158
    18Al Najma15031216:33-173

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1