Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 12:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/399) | 86% (395/459) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/399) | 86% (395/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (70/105) | 77% (100/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vitao (Own goal),
- 36', Flavio 🟨,
- 45+2', Al Harabi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Al Harabi A. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
- 57', Al Dossari M. 🟨,
- 59', Dunga N. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 2, Petkov M. ⚽, Al Kuwaykibi M. (A),
- 75', Petkov M. ↓, Hawsawi A. ↑,
- 75', Fulgini A. ↓, Biel ↑,
- 76', Vitao ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 76', Lazaro ↓, Al Subaie K. ↑,
- 81', Al Dossari M. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Samir Caetano ⚽, Al Dubais H. (A),
- 85', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
- 90+5', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma
17.8% | Draw
22.1% | Al-Taawoun
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Taawoun's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.26 ↑
(4.32) |
4.26 ↑
(3.9) |
1.55 ↓
(1.68) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Taawoun: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
- Al-Najma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Taawoun has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al-Taawoun is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Taawoun?
Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al-Najma?
Al-Taawoun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
29.12.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Najma
1:0
Latest results of Al-Najma
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
