Result
1:1
16/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 83', 1 - 0, Dubale G. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Damtew C. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Negele Arsi Ketema
40.1% | Draw
33.7% | Welayta Dicha
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.98) |
2.7 ↓
(3.12) |
3.48 ↓
(3.83) |
9.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Welayta Dicha has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Welayta Dicha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Negele Arsi Ketema is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Welayta Dicha?
Negele Arsi Ketema has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Welayta Dicha won against Negele Arsi Ketema?
Welayta Dicha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha were as follows:
Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
Latest results of Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | Hawassa | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Ethio Electric | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Mechal | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Fasil Kenema | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Adama City | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 24 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Insurance | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Welwalo Adigrat | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Dire Dawa | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Welayta Dicha | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 18 | St. George | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 16:20 | -4 | 25 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
