Dire Dawa City vs Negele Arsi Ketema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
30/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
44
Total shots
97
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Kemal H. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 78', 0 - 2, Solomon N. ,
  • 90+6', 0 - 3, Markos A. ,

Chances of winning


Dire Dawa City
29.3%
Draw
33%
Negele Arsi Ketema
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 31.9% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 32.2% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Dire Dawa City - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.7)
    2.76
    (2.8)
    2.42
    (2.55)
    9.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Dire Dawa City - Negele Arsi Ketema?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • Dire Dawa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Negele Arsi Ketema is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Dire Dawa City
    Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna291510435:171855
    2Mechal291211636:221447
    3Negele Arsi Ketema291112627:20745
    4Hawassa291110831:23843
    5Fasil Kenema291013619:18143
    6Ethio Electric291012722:17542
    7Ethiopia Bunna291181033:33041
    8Bahir Dar Kenema29716621:22-137
    9Sheger Ketema29715726:25136
    10St. George29991124:27-336
    11Welayta Dicha29714828:27135
    12Ethiopia Nigd Bank298111035:35035
    13Welwalo Adigrat298111026:30-435
    14Hadiya Hossana298111026:31-535
    15Ethiopian Insurance29713924:23134
    16Adama City29713925:30-534
    17Dire Dawa297121020:30-1033
    18Shire Endaselassie296121118:23-530
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta296121121:31-1030
    20Arba Menche294131221:34-1325

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation