Result
0:2
16/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 18 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 80% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 95% (39/41) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 35% (9/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 33% (17/52) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 54% (7/13) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (41/65) | 72% (48/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (19/67) | 37% (24/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (60/132) | 55% (72/132) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 20% (2/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
34.9% | Jakub Mensik
65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sebastian Baez - Jakub Mensik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.33) |
|
1.44 ↓
(1.6) |
6.9%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Jakub Mensik?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +5.5 Games - Baez (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sebastian Baez will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Baez (votes: 12 - 80%). Mensik (votes: 3 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 39. Mensik is ranked ATP: 18.
- Baez has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Mensik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mensik could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Jakub Mensik?
Sebastian Baez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jakub Mensik won against Sebastian Baez?
Jakub Mensik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Jakub Mensik were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Jakub Mensik
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Shelton B. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Comesana F. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Watt J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nava E. (Q) | Baez S. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Darderi L. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Tabilo A. (WC) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Muller A. | Giron M. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Navone M. | Michelsen A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Norrie C. (5) | Gaston H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bautista-Agut R. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Medjedovic H. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Mensik J. (3) | |
| 13 | Borges N. (8) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mannarino A. | Spizzirri E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Marozsan F. | Monfils G. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruud C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Shelton B. (1) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Baez S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (4) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Giron M. | Michelsen A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Norrie C. (5) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Medjedovic H. | Mensik J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Borges N. (8) | Spizzirri E. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Marozsan F. | Ruud C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shelton B. (1) | Baez S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Darderi L. (4) | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Mensik J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Spizzirri E. | Marozsan F. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Baez S. (7) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mensik J. (3) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Baez S. (7) | Mensik J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
