Result
1:2
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (140/243) | 71% (220/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (140/243) | 71% (220/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (41/89) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (46/103) | 66% (66/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Ehab M. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
- 35', Abdelaal I. ↓, Samir M. ↑,
- 43', Adly O. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Mansour H. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mansour H. ↓, Khatary M. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, Boli F. ⚽, Miskic D. (A),
- 63', Hassan M. 🟨,
- 65', Abdelaati M. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
- 65', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
- 74', Farag N. 🟨,
- 80', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
- 80', Boli F. 🟨,
- 80', Boli F. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Ragab M. (Own goal),
- 86', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
- 86', Hamdi M. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,
- 87', Abdelsalam A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ismaily
18.5% | Draw
31.7% | Wadi Degla
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Ismaily - Wadi Degla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.03 ↑
(4.26) |
2.93 ↑
(2.78) |
1.87 ↓
(2.07) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ismaily - Wadi Degla?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.
- Ismaily is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Wadi Degla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Wadi Degla is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against Wadi Degla?
Ismaily has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Ismaily?
Wadi Degla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - Wadi Degla were as follows:
17.01.2026
Ismaily
-
Wadi Degla
1:2
Latest results of Ismaily
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | ZED | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 21 |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 20 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Pharco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 12 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
