Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Napolitano S. retired
20/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
65%66%
1st serve points won
64% (27/42)78% (32/41)
2nd serve points won
57% (13/23)38% (8/21)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)50% (1/2)
1st return points won
22% (9/41)38% (16/42)
2nd return points won
62% (13/21)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)75% (3/4)
Winners
2615
Unforced errors
4626
Service Points Won
61% (39/64)65% (40/62)
Return Points Won
35% (22/62)39% (25/64)
Total Points Won
48% (61/126)52% (65/126)
Last 10 balls
100
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (8/11)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)27% (3/11)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
43.3%
Stefano Napolitano
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 46%

Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.84)

1.62
(1.84)
7.8%
(8.7%)
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Napolitano will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Napolitano (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 245. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 450.
    • Schwaerzler has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Napolitano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Napolitano will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    07.01.2026 Joel Schwaerzler - Lorenzo Giustino Schwaerzler J. J. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (1)Butvilas E.1 : 2
    2Ajdukovic D.Gulin S. (Q)2 : 1
    3Kirkin E. (Q)Boogaard T. (Q)2 : 1
    4McKennon M. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (8)0 : 2
    5Giustino L. (4)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    6Mrva M.Albot R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Geerts M.Martineau M.2 : 0
    8Purtseladze S.Harris L. (5)0 : 2
    9Popko D. (6)Coppejans K.1 : 2
    10Zakaria F. (WC)Zahraj P.0 : 2
    11Durasovic V.Paire B. (WC)2 : 1
    12Gentzsch T.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Neumayer L. (7)Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    14Bassem Sobhy M. (WC)Kopp S.2 : 1
    15Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    16Gojo B.Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Butvilas E.Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
    2Kirkin E.Pacheco Mendez R. (8)0 : 2
    3Blancaneaux G.Mrva M.0 : 2
    4Geerts M.Harris L. (5)1 : 2
    5Coppejans K.Zahraj P.0 : 2
    6Durasovic V.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    7Neumayer L. (7)Bassem Sobhy M.2 : 0
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Gojo B.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Butvilas E.Pacheco Mendez R. (8)2 : 0
    2Mrva M.Harris L. (5)1 : 2
    3Zahraj P.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    4Neumayer L. (7)Gojo B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Butvilas E.Harris L. (5)1 : 2
    2Pinnington Jones J. (3)Gojo B.2 : 0

    Final
    1Harris L. (5)Pinnington Jones J. (RET.) (3)1 : 0