Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 44% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (25/36) | 79% (23/29) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 8/12 | 4/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 31% (11/36) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 67% (22/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/6 | 4/12 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 49 | 21 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (36/69) | 65% (42/65) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 48% (33/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (59/134) | 56% (75/134) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Luka Pavlovic
45.8% | Stefano Napolitano
54.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luka Pavlovic's form might have worsened.Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.71) |
|
1.75 ↓
(2) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 200. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302.
- Pavlovic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Napolitano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pavlovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pavlovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Stefano Napolitano?
Luka Pavlovic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against Luka Pavlovic?
Stefano Napolitano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano were as follows:
05.03.2026
Luka Pavlovic
-
Stefano Napolitano
0:2
07.04.2025
Luka Pavlovic
-
Stefano Napolitano
2:0
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
