Breno vs Pavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Maglione R. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Tagliani M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 2, ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Breno
50.2%
Draw
25.8%
Pavia
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.7% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 24.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Breno - Pavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    3.77
    (3.7)
    10.1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Breno is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Breno
    18.01.2026 Leon - Breno 3:1
    11.01.2026 Breno - Vogherese 2:1
    04.01.2026 Castellanzese - Breno 0:2
    21.12.2025 Villa Valle - Breno 4:0
    14.12.2025 Breno - Varesina 2:0
    Latest results of Pavia
    18.01.2026 Pavia - Oltrepo 0:0
    11.01.2026 Milan Futuro - Pavia 0:1
    06.01.2026 Pavia - Caldiero Terme 1:3
    21.12.2025 Pavia - Chievo 0:2
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese311810351:222964
    2Chievo311741046:38855
    3USD Casatese311313544:281652
    4Leon31149842:311151
    5AC Milan U2331148949:341550
    6Villa Valle311371140:40046
    7Scanzorosciate311112840:291145
    8Brusaporto311361235:35045
    9Oltrepo311381033:31244
    10Ciserano-Bergamo311012926:26042
    11Caldiero Terme31913941:37440
    12Real Calepina311171339:40-140
    13Castellanzese311091237:33439
    14Breno318101335:46-1134
    15Pavia318101332:44-1234
    16Varesina316131233:40-731
    17Sondrio31671828:58-3025
    18Vogherese ✔ 31282119:58-398

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to