Result
2:1
19/12/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 9
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, SPOTV 2 |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (268/342) | 87% (412/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (268/342) | 87% (412/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 73% (86/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Ludwik A. 🟨,
- 18', Brattan L. 🟨,
- 23', Uskok T. 🟨,
- 43', Ji Dong-Won 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Dench M. ⚽, Vidic J. (A),
- 57', Vickery L. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 57', Jurman M. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
- 57', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
- 61', Long Ch. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 63', Uskok T. ↓, Deli F. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Sawyer H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Bouzanis D. 🟨,
- 70', Lauton J. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
- 71', Maieroni N. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 1, Sawyer H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Randazzo O. ↓, Helweh Z. ↑,
- 82', Dench M. ↓, Vrakas G. ↑,
- 86', Hore H. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 88', Oliveira B. ↓, McKay W. ↑,
- 88', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Deli F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
37% | Draw
27.4% | Brisbane Roar
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Macarthur FC's form might have worsened.Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macarthur FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.19) |
3.45 ↑
(3.43) |
2.67 ↓
(2.97) |
5.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Brisbane will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Brisbane (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Brisbane (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Brisbane (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Brisbane (votes: 7 - 77.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Da Silva D.
(Injury)
Ikonomidis C.
(Injury)
Krslovic S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ferkranus M.
(Muscle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Randazzo O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brisbane: Klein S.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Brisbane Roar?
Macarthur FC has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Macarthur FC?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
17.10.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Macarthur FC
1:0
04.04.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Macarthur FC
1:5
30.11.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Brisbane Roar
4:4
16.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
18.01.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Macarthur FC
1:3
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
