Result
4:0
24/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (340/402) | 82% (279/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (340/402) | 82% (279/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 54% (21/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (157/192) | 70% (63/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 3.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Jurman M. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Bosnjak D. ⚽,
- 34', 3 - 0, Brattan L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Conchie F. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 46', Kartum S. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 47', Nagasawa K. 🟨,
- 51', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
- 63', Retre P. 🟨,
- 71', Vickery L. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,
- 71', Nagasawa K. ↓, Singh S. ↑,
- 71', Payne T. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
- 78', Duke M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 78', Bosnjak D. ↓, Oliveira H. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Oliveira B. ⚽, Oliveira H. (A),
- 82', Talbot C. ↓, Politidis H. ↑,
- 83', Da Silva D. ↓, Uskok T. ↑,
- 89', Jurman M. 🟨,
- 90', Kelly-Heald L. ↓, Edwards D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
39.3% | Draw
24.5% | Wellington Phoenix
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Macarthur FC's form might have worsened.Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wellington Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macarthur FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(1.98) |
3.84 ↓
(4.2) |
2.63 ↓
(3.24) |
5.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Wellington will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Wellington (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2.
- In recent matches, Macarthur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wellington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Macarthur has had a series of away games.
- Macarthur could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won
(Ankle Injury)
Popovic K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wellington: Rufer A.
(Yellow Cards)
Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Wellington Phoenix?
Macarthur FC has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Macarthur FC?
Wellington Phoenix has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
21.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
0:1
20.01.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:2
13.12.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
27.04.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
3:0
18.02.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:2
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
