Result
0:0
28/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 19
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/380) | 85% (424/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/380) | 85% (424/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 65% (13/20) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/112) | 71% (112/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (22/30) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Roux S. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
- 29', Di Pizio M. ↓, McCalmont A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Bayliss L. 🟨,
- 64', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
- 72', Adams E. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 72', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 75', Tapp B. 🟨,
- 77', Eames H. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
- 77', Taniguchi K. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
- 82', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
22.4% | Draw
21.8% | Newcastle Jets
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.19 ↓
(4.88) |
4.34 ↓
(4.35) |
1.69 ↑
(1.51) |
6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Central Coast (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Jets will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Jets will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
- Central Coast is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newcastle is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Newcastle is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N.
(Inactive)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Baylis J.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Clough Z.
(Groin Injury)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Central Coast Mariners?
Newcastle Jets has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
19.10.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
3:2
12.04.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
6:0
01.02.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
2:2
22.11.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
27.04.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:3
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
