Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 24
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/517) | 81% (341/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/517) | 81% (341/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (135/184) | 59% (61/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Dobson W. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', White R. 🟨,
- 53', Gibson B. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
- 63', Dukuly Y. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 68', Bertoncello X. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 68', Taylor C. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, White R. ⚽, Anselmo (A),
- 90+1', Natta M. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
- 90+2', Alagich E. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Wilmering D. ⚽,
- 90+6', Yull J. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
- 90+7', Grozos K. 🟨,
- 90+8', Kitto R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
44% | Draw
23.3% | Adelaide United
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.75) |
4.07 ↑
(4.05) |
2.91 ↓
(3.8) |
5.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Adelaide will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 38.6% – 83.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Baylis J.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C.
(Groin Injury)
Najdovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Adelaide United?
Newcastle Jets has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Newcastle Jets?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United were as follows:
08.02.2026
Adelaide United
-
Newcastle Jets
2:3
30.07.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
2:1
15.02.2025
Adelaide United
-
Newcastle Jets
1:2
07.12.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
0:1
15.03.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
0:1
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
