Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Nava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/02/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
83%74%
1st serve points won
83% (29/35)62% (26/42)
2nd serve points won
100% (7/7)40% (6/15)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
38% (16/42)17% (6/35)
2nd return points won
60% (9/15)0% (0/7)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)0% (0/0)
Winners
1015
Unforced errors
924
Net points won
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
86% (36/42)58% (31/53)
Return Points Won
42% (22/53)14% (6/42)
Total Points Won
61% (58/95)39% (37/95)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
64.5%
Emilio Nava
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.45)

    2.66
    (2.73)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Nava will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 80.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 71. Nava is ranked ATP: 81.
    • Tabilo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Emilio Nava
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Tirante T. A.
    2Tabilo A.TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7Lajovic D.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Kopriva V.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2