Result
6:3
22/01/2026 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (432/489) | 84% (282/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (432/489) | 84% (282/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (21/33) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (96/132) | 60% (40/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.88 | -1.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 20', 0 - 1, Chivaviro R. ⚽, Bukia A. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Chivaviro R. ⚽, Al Jamman A. (A),
- 36', Shami A. 🟨,
- 42', Shami A. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 2, Gano Z. ⚽,
- 45+1', Bukia A. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
- 45+5', 2 - 3, Bukia A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Al Dawsari M. ↓, Al Yousif A. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 3, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
- 50', 4 - 3, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
- 54', 5 - 3, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
- 62', Al Ibrahim R. ↓, Al Majhad H. ↑,
- 66', Al Marri M. ↓, Qarradi J. ↑,
- 69', Narvaez J. 🟨,
- 81', Chivaviro R. ↓, Al Suwaij A. ↑,
- 82', Al Hamdhi K. N. ↓, Bouamer N. ↑,
- 86', 6 - 3, Gano Z. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
- 86', Al Dossary M. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
- 86', Al Salouli S. ↓, Al Shuqayran T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Raed
67.6% | Draw
19.6% | Al-Adalh
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Raed's performance.Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Adalh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Raed that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Adalh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Raed - Al-Adalh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.53) |
4.62 ↑
(4.11) |
7.11 ↑
(5.1) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Raed - Al-Adalh?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Al Raed (1.53) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Al Raed will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Raed will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Raed (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
- Recent form of Al Raed has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Adalh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Al Raed is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Raed won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Raed won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Adalh?
Al Raed has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Adalh won against Al Raed?
Al-Adalh has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Raed - Al-Adalh were as follows:
12.09.2025
Al-Adalh
-
Al Raed
4:4
11.03.2023
Al-Adalh
-
Al Raed
0:3
01.10.2022
Al Raed
-
Al-Adalh
2:1
Latest results of Al Raed
Latest results of Al-Adalh
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 63:29 | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 74:33 | 41 | 69 |
| 3 | Al-Faisaly | 32 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 70:32 | 38 | 67 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:31 | 35 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Orubah ✔ | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54:38 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 57:43 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 42:39 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 50:56 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 48:49 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 41:70 | -29 | 27 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22:60 | -38 | 21 |
| 17 | Al Batin ✔ | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 35:64 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 | Al Jubail ✔ | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 28:69 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Al Batin is Relegated to
Al Jubail is Relegated to
