Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South African Premier Soccer League
Result
1:2
18/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.730.88
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
32
Passes
77% (231/301)87% (438/505)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
0.730.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.042.50
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
81
Free kicks
189
Passes
77% (231/301)87% (438/505)
Long passes
47% (23/49)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)63% (64/102)
Crosses
25% (2/8)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.80
Throw ins
2411
Fouls
918
Tackles
60% (6/10)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3739
Clearances
1419
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.501.04
Goals prevented
0.500.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', Sibisi N. 🟨,
  • 26', Mokoena T. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
  • 41', 0 - 2, Leon B. ⚽, Modiba A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Maswanganyi P. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
  • 59', Adams J. 🟨,
  • 62', Kekana G. 🟨,
  • 66', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
  • 66', Santos N. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
  • 72', Matthews T. 🟨,
  • 73', Matthews T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
  • 73', Ndamane K. ↓, Johannes K. ↑,
  • 74', Appollis O. ↓, De Jong A. ↑,
  • 78', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 79', Leon B. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
  • 79', Modiba A. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
  • 85', Sebelebele K. ↓, van Rooyen D. ↑,
  • 85', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Msendami D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Orlando Pirates
31.9%		Draw
36.5%		Mamelodi Sundowns
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 37.3% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
    •

    Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↓
    (3.03)    		 2.54 ↑
    (2.47)    		 2.92 ↑
    (2.85)    		 7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Orlando Pirates (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 2.
    • Orlando Pirates has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:1
    23.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:2
    16.08.2025 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1
    16.03.2025 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:0
    08.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 4:1
    Latest results of Orlando Pirates
    14.02.2026 Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants 3:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila - Orlando Pirates 1:4
    03.02.2026 AmaZulu - Orlando Pirates 0:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Orlando Pirates - Magesi 2:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    14.02.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger 2:0
    08.02.2026 Saint-Éloi Lupopo - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns - Gomora United 2:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2 ✺
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns23175142:123056
    2Orlando Pirates23173345:93654
    3Kaizer Chiefs21116422:13939
    4AmaZulu23115724:21338
    5Sekhukhune2398623:17635
    6Durban City23105820:16435
    7Polokwane2288618:15332
    8Golden Arrows23841128:31-328
    9Stellenbosch2377920:25-528
    10Siwelele2268812:16-426
    11Richards Bay2368918:25-726
    12TS Galaxy23741225:31-625
    13Chippa Utd24581119:32-1323
    14Marumo Gallants23461317:34-1718
    15Orbit College23531517:39-2218
    16Magesi22381116:30-1417

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

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