Mamelodi Sundowns vs Sekhukhune United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.320.68
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
62
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Passes
87% (460/527)74% (190/257)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.320.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.97
Total shots
148
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
55
Free kicks
1213
Passes
87% (460/527)74% (190/257)
Long passes
45% (21/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
74% (90/121)57% (40/70)
Crosses
22% (4/18)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.93
Throw ins
2119
Fouls
1312
Tackles
71% (5/7)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3440
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.972.35
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Mokoena T. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Allende M. , Arthur Sales (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Nku L. , Diomande A. ,
  • 59', Mokoena T. , Zwane T. ,
  • 60', Arthur Sales , Santos N. ,
  • 65', Mogaila S. , Rammala N. ,
  • 65', Mncube V. , Mokoane T. ,
  • 68', Leon B. , Rayners I. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Grobler B. , Letlapa V. (A),
  • 71', Monare T. , Khiba T. ,
  • 80', Allende M. , Mothiba L. ,
  • 80', Matthews T. , Saleng M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Rayners I. ,
  • 87', Mkhize S. 🟨,
  • 87', Adams J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Mudau K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mkhize S. , Makgalwa K. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Rayners I. ,

Chances of winning


Mamelodi Sundowns
67.9%
Draw
22.1%
Sekhukhune United
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 24.6% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 24% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Sekhukhune United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sekhukhune United than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)
    4.21
    (3.71)
    9.26
    (7.83)
    7.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Sekhukhune United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Mamelodi Sundowns has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2
    28.03.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United 1:0
    26.02.2025 Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:4
    30.11.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United 3:0
    23.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United 2:1
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Latest results of Sekhukhune United
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns ✔ 26187144:133161
    2Orlando Pirates ✔ 26185351:123959
    3Kaizer Chiefs26138529:171247
    4AmaZulu26126830:26442
    5Sekhukhune26109726:21539
    6Polokwane26910720:17337
    7Durban City261061023:23036
    8Golden Arrows261051131:32-135
    9Siwelele26711815:17-232
    10Stellenbosch26881024:28-432
    11Richards Bay26710921:27-631
    12TS Galaxy26751425:34-926
    13Chippa Utd26591221:38-1724
    14Magesi26491322:37-1521
    15Marumo Gallants26491318:35-1721
    16Orbit College26551619:42-2320

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mamelodi Sundowns is Qualified for CAF Champions League
    Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League