Result
1:1
04/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Cirilo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 1, Lucas Cassiano (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Marília
54.8% | Draw
27.8% | Rio Claro
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marília's performance.Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Claro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marília that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Claro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marília - Rio Claro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.91) |
3.25 ↑
(3.21) |
5.19 ↑
(3.72) |
10.7%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Marília may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marília is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marília won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Marília won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Marília won against Rio Claro?
Marília has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Claro won against Marília?
Rio Claro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marília - Rio Claro were as follows:
Latest results of Marília
Latest results of Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Marilia | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Rio Claro | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Rio Preto | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Uniao Barbarense | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | EC Sao Bernardo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | XV de Jau | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Catanduva | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Paulista | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Itapirense | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Francana | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:19 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A4
