Portuguesa Santista vs Marília – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Yohan ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portuguesa Santista
50%
Draw
30.4%
Marília
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 31% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 31.1% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Santista's performance.
  • Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marília might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Santista that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portuguesa Santista - Marília Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.06)
    2.98
    (2.93)
    4.63
    (3.63)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portuguesa Santista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portuguesa Santista is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa Santista - Marília were as follows:
    22.04.2026 Marília - Portuguesa Santista 2:2
    14.02.2026 Marília - Portuguesa Santista 3:0
    Latest results of Portuguesa Santista
    Latest results of Marília
    18.04.2026 Marília - XV de Jaú 3:2
    12.04.2026 XV de Jaú - Marília 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1MariliaEC Sao Bernardo3 : 0, 0 : 2
    2XV de JauRio Claro2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3Portuguesa SantistaPaulista2 : 0, 1 : 2
    4Rio PretoUniao Barbarense0 : 0, 3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MariliaXV de Jau3 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Portuguesa SantistaRio Preto1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1MariliaPortuguesa Santista0 : 2, 2 : 2