Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
72%65%
1st serve points won
74% (34/46)68% (34/50)
2nd serve points won
72% (13/18)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)71% (5/7)
1st return points won
38% (19/50)30% (14/46)
2nd return points won
56% (15/27)28% (5/18)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)100% (1/1)
Winners
3117
Unforced errors
2122
Net points won
67% (6/9)78% (7/9)
Service Points Won
73% (47/64)60% (46/77)
Return Points Won
40% (31/77)27% (17/64)
Total Points Won
55% (78/141)45% (63/141)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Joao Fonseca
56.2%
Raphael Collignon
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.65)

    2.19
    (2.16)
    4.8%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Collignon will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Collignon (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fonseca is ranked ATP: 35. Collignon is ranked ATP: 77.
    • Recent form of Fonseca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Collignon is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fonseca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Collignon will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Latest results of Raphael Collignon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Cazaux A.
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)
    15Korda S.Comesana F.
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Rinderknech A. (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Ruud C. (13)
    5Bublik A. (10)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Darderi L. (20)
    7Norrie C. (27)TBD #14
    8TBD #15De Minaur A. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Moutet C. (31)
    11Cerundolo F. (19)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Draper J. (14)
    13Medvedev D. (11)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Lehecka J. (22)
    15Humbert U. (32)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Fritz T. (7)
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.
    18Prizmic D.Fils A. (30)
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)TBD #62
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2