Ituano vs Atlético Monte Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 15

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Victor Reis ,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Neto Berola ,
  • 38', 3 - 0, Neto Berola ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 53', 3 - 1, Luan Silva ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Wallace ,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+7', 🟥,
  • 90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ituano
58.6%
Draw
25.3%
Atlético Monte Azul
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.6% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 21.7% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Monte Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ituano - Atlético Monte Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.67)
    3.6
    (3.52)
    5.63
    (4.47)
    9.9%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ituano - Atlético Monte Azul?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ituano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 14).
    • Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    • Ituano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monte Azul is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ituano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Monte Azul has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ituano is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ituano
    01.03.2026 Osasco Sporting - Ituano 2:0
    25.02.2026 São José-SP - Ituano 2:1
    21.02.2026 Ituano - Sertãozinho 4:0
    18.02.2026 Ituano - Água Santa 0:1
    14.02.2026 Piracicaba - Ituano 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Monte Azul
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    Second stage

    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Votuporanguense21103:034
    2Piracicaba20200:002
    3Agua Santa20200:002
    4Ituano20110:3-31


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Jose EC22003:126
    2Juventus-SP32014:316
    3Sertaozinho31024:5-13
    4Ferroviaria20022:4-20

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)