Result
0:2
13/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 53% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 73% (30/41) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 51% (19/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/4 | 3/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (14/41) | 38% (12/32) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 45% (10/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/4 | 3/4 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 100% (4/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 63% (49/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (29/78) | 41% (22/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (61/132) | 54% (71/132) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Stefano Napolitano
39.1% | Arthur Gea
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Gea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.3) |
|
1.54
(1.54) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gea will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Napolitano is ranked ATP: 422. Gea is ranked ATP: 161.
- Napolitano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Gea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napolitano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against Arthur Gea?
Stefano Napolitano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Gea won against Stefano Napolitano?
Arthur Gea has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea were as follows:
06.03.2026
Stefano Napolitano
-
Arthur Gea
2:1
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
Latest results of Arthur Gea
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | |
