France W vs Poland W, FIFA World Cup Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
07/03/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup Women - Qualification - League A
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
franceFrance6play, Free, Molotov TV, W9, W9
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
5.240.55
Ball possession
71%29%
Total shots
257
Shots on target
93
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
112
Passes
86% (425/496)60% (121/203)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
5.240.55
xG on target (xGOT)
4.611.23
Total shots
257
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
91
Shots inside the box
215
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
527
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
119
Passes
86% (425/496)60% (121/203)
Long passes
61% (20/33)23% (8/35)
Passes in final third
79% (198/250)59% (26/44)
Crosses
21% (5/24)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
2.750.29
Throw ins
3619
Fouls
911
Tackles
82% (14/17)68% (17/25)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
634
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.234.61
Goals prevented
0.230.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Krezyman N. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Katoto M-A. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Pajor E. ,
  • 37', Geyoro G. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Karchaoui S. ,
  • 45+2', Krezyman N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Cyraniak J. , Zaremba A. ,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Karchaoui S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Pawollek T. , Zawistowska W. ,
  • 65', Kokosz M. , Szymczak E. ,
  • 68', Zaremba A. 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Diani K. ,
  • 76', Katoto M-A. , Mateo C. ,
  • 76', Lakrar M. , Bussy K. ,
  • 76', Diani K. , Sangare W. ,
  • 83', Malard M. , Gago K. ,
  • 83', Geyoro G. , Le Moguedec A. ,
  • 87', Kamczyk E. , Grzybowska G. ,
  • 87', Tomasiak P. , Arasniewicz W. ,
  • 90+2', Karchaoui S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


France W
80.9%
Draw
13.4%
Poland W
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.5% 14.3% 7.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • France W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Poland W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • France W - Poland W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.13
    (1.17)
    6.76
    (6.44)
    16.25
    (12.73)
    9.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, France is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, France won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.
    Latest results of France W
    03.03.2026 Ireland W - France W 1:2
    02.12.2025 Sweden W - France W 2:2
    28.11.2025 France W - Sweden W 2:1
    28.10.2025 France W - Germany W 2:2
    24.10.2025 Germany W - France W 1:0
    Latest results of Poland W
    03.03.2026 Poland W - Netherlands W 2:2
    02.12.2025 Poland W - Latvia W 3:0
    28.11.2025 Poland W - Slovenia W 1:0
    28.10.2025 Wales W - Poland W 2:5
    24.10.2025 Poland W - Netherlands W 0:0
    FIFA World Cup Women Table
    Europe

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark W21104:224
    2Sweden W21101:014
    3Italy W20111:2-11
    4Serbia W20111:3-21


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W22006:246
    2Netherlands W21104:314
    3Poland W20113:6-31
    4Ireland W20022:4-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England W22008:176
    2Spain W22006:156
    3Iceland W20020:5-50
    4Ukraine W20022:9-70


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Germany W22009:096
    2Norway W21011:4-33
    3Slovenia W21011:5-43
    4Austria W20020:2-20

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