Poland W vs Netherlands W, FIFA World Cup Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup Women - Qualification - League A
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 3
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.761.83
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1919
Shots on target
85
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
610
Passes
69% (205/297)79% (363/457)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.761.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.690.91
Total shots
1919
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
78
Blocked shots
46
Shots inside the box
1317
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
2445
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
155
Passes
69% (205/297)79% (363/457)
Long passes
30% (17/57)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
57% (46/80)77% (117/151)
Crosses
50% (5/10)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
2.031.49
Throw ins
2631
Fouls
515
Tackles
76% (13/17)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
5717
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.912.69
Goals prevented
-1.090.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Pajor E. , Pawollek T. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Buurman V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Casparij K. , Wilms L. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Roord J. , Wilms L. (A),
  • 62', Egurrola D. , Groenen J. ,
  • 62', Brugts E. , Grant C. ,
  • 66', Krezyman N. , Zawistowska W. ,
  • 66', Pawollek T. , Kokosz M. ,
  • 71', Dijkstra C. 🟨,
  • 74', Beerensteyn L. , Leuchter R. ,
  • 81', Groenen J. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Tomasiak P. , Kamczyk E. (A),
  • 90', Kamczyk E. , Grzybowska G. ,
  • 90+3', Tomasiak P. , Padilla N. ,

Chances of winning


Poland W
13%
Draw
20.7%
Netherlands W
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 18.9% 68.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Netherlands W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Poland W - Netherlands W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.02
    (7.05)
    4.48
    (4.74)
    1.38
    (1.31)
    9%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Poland W - Netherlands W?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Poland (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 1 - 50%). Netherlands (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Netherlands is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poland W - Netherlands W were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Poland W - Netherlands W 0:0
    11.04.2023 Netherlands W - Poland W 4:1
    Latest results of Poland W
    02.12.2025 Poland W - Latvia W 3:0
    28.11.2025 Poland W - Slovenia W 1:0
    28.10.2025 Wales W - Poland W 2:5
    24.10.2025 Poland W - Netherlands W 0:0
    12.07.2025 Poland W - Denmark W 3:2
    Latest results of Netherlands W
    FIFA World Cup Women Table
    Europe

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark W42206:338
    2Sweden W42113:217
    3Italy W41217:255
    4Serbia W40131:10-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Netherlands W42207:528
    2France W42118:537
    3Ireland W42026:606
    4Poland W40135:10-51


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England W440010:1912
    2Spain W430111:299
    3Iceland W41031:6-53
    4Ukraine W40042:15-130


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Germany W431014:11310
    2Norway W43019:639
    3Slovenia W41033:13-103
    4Austria W40131:7-61

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